Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.019290 0.020858 0.022492 0.024324 0.026320 0.028432 0.030836
2025-09-07 0.016490 0.018726 0.021184 0.024091 0.027442 0.031190 0.035711
2025-09-14 0.014694 0.017302 0.020284 0.023957 0.028371 0.033525 0.040024
2025-09-21 0.013281 0.016100 0.019426 0.023658 0.028923 0.035289 0.043615
2025-09-28 0.012351 0.015351 0.018989 0.023751 0.029857 0.037469 0.047754
2025-10-05 0.011504 0.014615 0.018479 0.023667 0.030496 0.039246 0.051416
2025-10-12 0.010860 0.014074 0.018156 0.023761 0.031322 0.041260 0.055458
2025-10-19 0.010293 0.013584 0.017849 0.023831 0.032085 0.043190 0.059461
2025-10-26 0.009733 0.013061 0.017455 0.023739 0.032593 0.044768 0.063030
2025-11-02 0.009265 0.012631 0.017152 0.023738 0.033202 0.046491 0.066874
2025-11-09 0.008727 0.012070 0.016631 0.023388 0.033279 0.047434 0.069603
2025-11-16 0.008204 0.011499 0.016063 0.022931 0.033159 0.048063 0.071867
2025-11-23 0.007763 0.011036 0.015642 0.022693 0.033385 0.049271 0.075189
2025-11-30 0.007370 0.010625 0.015277 0.022516 0.033696 0.050630 0.078845
2025-12-07 0.007027 0.010266 0.014966 0.022398 0.034079 0.052106 0.082765
2025-12-14 0.006668 0.009866 0.014569 0.022121 0.034188 0.053143 0.086016
2025-12-21 0.006432 0.009636 0.014416 0.022209 0.034870 0.055116 0.090933
2025-12-28 0.006171 0.009356 0.014169 0.022130 0.035270 0.056641 0.095170
2026-01-04 0.005969 0.009154 0.014034 0.022218 0.035940 0.058639 0.100340
2026-01-11 0.005774 0.008956 0.013891 0.022283 0.036568 0.060591 0.105545
2026-01-18 0.005559 0.008714 0.013666 0.022197 0.036931 0.062099 0.110030
2026-01-25 0.005375 0.008514 0.013499 0.022196 0.037434 0.063867 0.115096
2026-02-01 0.005136 0.008213 0.013152 0.021871 0.037348 0.064583 0.118221